FLA forecasts consumer car finance to fall 6% in 2023

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The value of cars sold through consumer financing will fall by 6% in 2023 according to the Finance & Leasing Association (FLA).

Geraldine Kilkelly, research director and chief economist at FLA, said: “While the economic outlook has improved, challenges remain for households and businesses as they face the impact of higher prices, taxes and interest rates. We expect the consumer auto finance market to report a decline in new business by around 6% in 2023 as a whole.”

Kilkelly’s comments come as the FLA released figures showing the consumer new auto finance market reported new business up 3% by value in February compared to the same month in 2022, while new business volumes remained steady.

In the first two months of 2023, the volume of new business in this market was 6% lower compared to the same period in 2022.

The consumer used car financing market reported a decline in new business of 8% by value and 6% by volume compared to the same month in 2022.

In the first two months of 2023, the volume of new business in this market fell by 3% compared to the same period in 2022.

Table 1: Cars purchased on a consumer financing basis through the point of sale
New businessFebruary 2023%

change in the previous year

3
months to February 2023
% change in previous year12 months to February 2023% change in previous year
New car
Down payment value (£m)78933.156-417,228-4
Number of cars31,9390121,837-10679,280-10
Used car
Down payment value (£m)1,833-85,084-523,4649
Number of cars122,649-6345,264-21,543,7652
Number of cars
Down payment value (£m)2,622-58,240-540,6923
Number of cars154,588-5467,101-42,223,045-2
Table 2: Cars purchased financed by businesses
New businessFebruary 2023%

change to before

year

3

month to February

2023

% change in previous year12 months to February 2023% change in previous year
New car
Number of cars21,5323477,44828291,664-3
Used car
Number of cars3,622-4713.176-3177,12535



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